Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.380385 0.434677 0.497228 0.575390 0.671530 0.787382 9.398339e-01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.305278 0.376709 0.468653 0.599055 0.785185 1.051530 1.482734e+00
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.251809 0.327326 0.432332 0.595864 0.858405 1.293667 2.151917e+00
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.219980 0.297837 0.412999 0.606948 0.952429 1.611132 3.209526e+00
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.188619 0.262342 0.376010 0.578146 0.966469 1.791309 4.179582e+00
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.163876 0.232568 0.341864 0.544619 0.958507 1.921546 5.201173e+00
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.145745 0.210450 0.316251 0.520008 0.959596 2.075112 6.567287e+00
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.140393 0.207893 0.322787 0.556896 1.107476 2.719593 1.158180e+01
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.139491 0.212387 0.342179 0.624466 1.361489 3.965524 2.752225e+01
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.134954 0.209921 0.348160 0.664973 1.568121 5.359821 6.762686e+01
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.129190 0.204501 0.347462 0.689956 1.745069 6.970942 1.965123e+02
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.122261 0.196151 0.339603 0.695541 1.863951 8.560183 7.118304e+02
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.112221 0.181559 0.318089 0.664510 1.849878 9.367754 2.642988e+03
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.105412 0.172587 0.307557 0.661296 1.948736 11.534986 1.151317e+08
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098565 0.162907 0.294281 0.647742 2.001893 13.641949 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094059 0.157362 0.289346 0.656931 2.166787 18.216182 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.087241 0.146638 0.271475 0.623866 2.112064 19.439858 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.080788 0.136189 0.253217 0.586386 2.018611 19.732750 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.075540 0.127827 0.239007 0.559074 1.967690 20.891716 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.074781 0.128516 0.245903 0.599855 2.322515 36.714657 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.075622 0.132576 0.261448 0.674868 2.995890 98.958269 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.074690 0.132790 0.267581 0.720000 3.557991 263.991152 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.072988 0.131180 0.268847 0.747895 4.045663 810.684184 NaN